Rumours rated: Evra to Man United, Chelsea to swap Batshuayi for Llorente
How do you separate transfer fact from fiction? With the January transfer window now open, David Amoyal looks at some of the current rumours and predicts how likely it is that the proposed moves will actually happen.
Patrice Evra to Manchester United: 20 percent
There are some clear signs the French left-back could be on his way out at Juventus in January. For one, manager Max Allegri hasn't selected him for the past two matches, and secondly the current Serie A champions are pursuing Sead Kolasinac as a potential replacement. While Evra has been linked to his former club Manchester United, Valencia is taking more concrete steps to sign him -- they have been in talks with Juventus to acquire him as well as striker Simone Zaza.
Andrea Belotti to Arsenal in January: 15 percent
The striker known as Il Gallo (the Rooster) has performed so well that a €100 million exit clause was included in his contract. Considering the fact that Belotti is only 23, it's not surprising that Arsenal has expressed interest, a fact recently confirmed by Torino sporting director Gianluca Petrachi. But a move is much more likely in the summer when the Italian club could be willing to sell him abroad for less than his exit clause.
Fernando Llorente to Chelsea & Michy Batshuayi to Swansea: 55 percent
Now that Antonio Conte has proved himself as Chelsea's manager, he's ready to have more of a say in the transfer market. Considering that Conte didn't start Batshuayi in the Premier League when Diego Costa was suspended, it's not surprising that he's looking for a reliable and familiar backup. Conte wants to bring Llorente to Stamford Bridge; the Spanish striker scored 16 goals for Conte at Juventus a few years ago, and as part of the deal Batshuayi could get an opportunity to play in the Premier League while on loan at Swansea -- a destination he has yet to accept, however.
Luiz Gustavo to Nice: 45 percent
The Brazilian midfielder had been linked to numerous Serie A clubs, including Juventus and Inter, but he could be heading to Ligue 1. Nice is looking to make a substantial addition to their midfield to keep the momentum from their excellent first half to the season. Manager Lucien Favre is also familiar with Luiz Gustavo after previously managing in the Bundesliga. Nice's biggest advantage in the race for Luiz Gustavo is that, unlike Serie A clubs who are interested in a loan with an option to buy deal, they're willing to buy the player outright.
Ricardo Rodriguez to Paris Saint-Germain: 15 percent
The current Ligue 1 champions continue to shop in the Bundesliga after signing Julian Draxler. According to Le Parisien, PSG made an offer to Wolfsburg for Swiss left-back Ricardo Rodriguez, but the German club doesn't intend to let him leave in January. By next June, though, he could be on his way to Serie A. According to Gianluca Di Marzio, Inter is expected to sign Rodriguez next summer when their financial fair play restrictions will be eased; their competitive advantage in the race rests in the fact that Rodriguez wants to play in Italy, where he vacations often.
Lucas Leiva to Inter: 20 percent
After reaching an agreement with Liverpool on a straight loan deal and with Leiva very early in the January transfer window, Inter wanted to see if they could find a better long-term solution for their midfield. Inter have nearly closed the deal with Atalanta for Roberto Gagliardini on a loan with an option to buy, but they could still sign Lucas Leiva, should Geoffrey Kondogbia leave during the January transfer window.
Marco Verratti to Bayern Munich next summer: 35 percent
After five seasons in Ligue 1, the talented 24-year-old Italian midfielder could be leaving PSG in the summer. Verratti has had a difficult time with manager Unai Emery and is interested in either returning to Italy or joining a club that would give him a better chance of winning the Champions League. In a recent report, Gianluca Di Marzio linked Verratti to Inter, whose new owners Suning want to invest in Italian players, and to Bayern Munich, where he would be reunited with Carlo Ancelotti.
Kostas Manolas to Everton in January: 15 percent
The Greek defender has yet to extend his contract with Roma, and convincing performances by Federico Fazio and Antonio Rudiger could make Manolas expandable for the right offer. After being linked to Chelsea and Manchester United, two clubs who could rejoin the race to sign him, Manolas has recently become a target for Everton. However, the Toffees were told that Roma would prefer to keep the centre-back until the end of the season.
Corentin Tolisso to Juventus next summer: 35 percent
When Axel Witsel decided to accept an offer from China, Juventus was once again on the market for a starting-calibre midfielder. The current Serie A champions are, however, more likely to make a significant investment this summer rather than in January, after Kwadwo Asamoah decided to skip playing in the African Nations Cup and because their top targets, Steven N'Zonzi and Tolisso, are both cup tied in the Champions League. Of the two, Juventus prefers Lyon midfielder Tolisso since he's considerably younger, they have initiated contacts with his entourage to reach an agreement with them prior to negotiating with Lyon.
Sofiane Feghouli to Roma: 25 percent
The Algerian winger has really struggled to find playing time since signing with the Hammers on a free transfer last summer. Feghouli has already given his approval for a move to Roma, but the Italian club is currently interested only in a loan with option to buy deal -- a formula that doesn't satisfy West Ham. While Roma hasn't given up on Feghouli, they also keep talking to Chelsea about Charly Musonda, who could either stay with the Blues or move to another team because his loan to Real Betis was recently terminated.
David covers transfer news for ESPN FC and works for Gianluca Di Marzio's website. Twitter: @DavidAmoyal.